Thermal Ecology of Spiny-tailed lizard and its vulnerability to climate warming.

Abstract

Lizards and other ectotherms survive within their thermal limits and have a well-defined range of body temperatures within which their performance is optimal. Hence, as climate warming accelerates, ectotherms like lizards become increasingly constrained. Saara hardwickii survives in areas where environmental temperatures are already extreme. Therefore, they may be at the risk of extinction due to rising temperatures. In the field, we collected data on field body temperatures and operative temperatures to evaluate and quantify the degree of thermoregulation observed in the lizard and to evaluate changes in activity pattern over months, In the laboratory, we quantified preferred temperature, thermal thresholds and locomotor of the lizard. Using a combination of field and laboratory data, we described how S. hardwickii uses burrows to thermoregulate and evaluated how climate warming will impact locomotor performance and hours of activity in the future. We found that burrows provide an exceptional buffer to the lizards as the temperatures deep inside (~1 m) do not exceed the preferred temperature of the lizard, even in the worst-case climate change scenario (RCP 8.5). Currently, the lizards are restricted to their burrows for six hours during their active period. According to our model, by 2100, the lizards might get restricted to their burrows for 7 hours in the best-case scenario, and for 9 hours in worst-case scenario. Our model suggested decrease in locomotor performance by 2.1%, 9.5% and 28.3% in the best- (RCP 2.6), intermediate- (RCP 4.5), and worst- (RCP 8.5) case scenarios by 2100. Hence, the synergistic effect of loss of activity hours and decline in locomotor performance might result in decreased fitness of S. hardwickii, potentially leading to its extirpation.